It is slightly unfortunate that the site to which Nadine Dorries links as the headquarters of the Alive and Kicking anti-abortion campaign is, at the time of posting, a slimming site offering the opportunity to lose unwanted body weight. Please write your own uncomfortable punchline.
Presumably she meant to link to this site instead.
Dorries' support for a campaign which seeks to "shame" its opponents also reminds you that her supposed support for solid scientific evidence is a thin veneer for a specific kind of religious moralising. Dorries quotes a poll (without giving any source) that shows public support for a reduction in week limit; she might also have quoted this poll, which shows strong support for the principle of abortion on demand, but that might not sit well with the opponents of all abortion whose politics she represents.
Alive and Kicking - as you might have guessed from Dorries' endorsement - are also less than honest with their rhetoric. Billing themselves as the "campaign to make abortion rare," their website makes not one single, solitary mention of the existence of contraception - or the existence of adoption agencies, or support networks for unplanned pregnancy.
In other words, no mention is made of anything that might actually help women and their partners when confronted with the issue of abortion. Instead, there's the horribly common (and still baseless) smear of "a cash-driven abortion industry," and the selective mining of research which ignores any and all counter-evidence.
Furthermore, even if successful, the campaign to shorten the week limit from 24 to 20 would only effect a tiny minority of women - less than 1% of all abortions take place in that period. In 2003, 0.75% of abortions in England Wales were carried out at 22 weeks or over - a reduction that would hardly make abortion "rare," and would most likely impact those whose decision to abort has been taken as a matter of urgency.
It continues to be galling to be lectured on the need for "balanced" counselling for women considering abortion by groups and individuals who continually misrepresent and distort evidence to support their position.
EDIT: In the spirit of bloody-mindedness, I decided I should look at the opinion poll from 2005 on which Alive and Kicking bases its claim to public support for change. It is, beyond any doubt, a push-poll. Here's the central statement presented for agreement or disagreement:
The current abortion limit of 24 weeks should be lowered significantly given that more than 80% of babies born at that age survive.
Hmm. Now there's a huge slice of statistical fudge. It may even be an outright fabrication.
The most reliable data we have for that kind of claim comes from the EPIcure studies of the survivability of premature babies. The original study from 1995 showed that the percentage of babies born alive (who survived to leave hospital) at 23 to 24 weeks it was 11 per cent; at 24 to 25 weeks, it was
26 per cent. That's the
Daily Mail's summary - but in the direct
words of the researchers, overall survival was 39%.
While the second study is still being completed, The Times
reports:
Data is still being analysed, but early indications suggest little improvement in survival rates to age six (between 10 and 15 per cent) of babies born before 24 weeks.
Hmm.
During the last round of debate, much was made of research undertaken by Professor John Wyatt at University College Hospital in London who looked at births between 22 and 25 weeks between 1981 and 2000. In that cohort - at a well-funded, well-staffed hospital with some of the country's experts in premature birth - survival rose from 31% to 71%. But not to
more than 80% (EDIT - and there are
problems with the data anyway.)
A bit of googling turns up a
Canadian study from the late 90s which gives the closest figures: survival to discharge at 24 weeks gestation was 54%, compared to 82% at 26 weeks (with, again, no mention of long-term circumstances). Close, but still no cigar.
It is possible that this figure refers to survivability (in some undefined sense) of infants born exclusively in week 24. But without any actual sources for research to support that, it's impossible to discover how the polling company - commissioned by Alive and Kicking - reached their conclusion and presented it as fact. Maybe I'm too cynical for words, but I'm not feeling the urge to extend blind trust on this one.